Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Carter 58.5% (-21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 92.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 58.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 82.5%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Barbashev
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Barbashev
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Barbashev
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Barbashev
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
59.7% (727)
-20.6%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
68.1% (72)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
53.2% (139)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Carter
Home
40.0% (85)
58.7% (455)
Away
35.6% (59)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Barbashev
Carter
P1
35.8%
61.3%
P2
29.5%
57.1%
P3
48.9%
59.8%
Final 5 min
31.3%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
38.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |