Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +31.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 24.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 40.8% vs Staal 54.6% (-31.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 74.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.0%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 54.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Barbashev
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Barbashev
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
20.0% (45)
56.2% (989)
-36.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
66.0% (159)
-23.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
23.1% (26)
55.4% (699)
Away
23.1% (26)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
36.4%
55.7%
P2
6.7%
54.7%
P3
20.0%
53.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |