Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Sourdif 45.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 71.5%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 71.1%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 74.6%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Compher
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Compher
Sourdif
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Compher
Sourdif
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
2
3
Compher
Sourdif
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Compher
Sourdif
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
44.3% (585)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
50.0% (24)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
61.5% (13)
-24.7%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Sourdif is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Compher
Sourdif
Home
51.3% (452)
43.6% (321)
Away
51.5% (458)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Compher
Sourdif
P1
54.9%
41.9%
P2
49.0%
44.3%
P3
50.6%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |