Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Eller 55.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 56.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 54.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Compher
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Compher
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Compher
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Compher
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
56.0% (459)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
77.8% (9)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
51.9% (54)
-15.1%
On power play, Eller has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Compher
Eller
Home
51.3% (452)
52.6% (215)
Away
51.5% (458)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Compher
Eller
P1
54.9%
54.1%
P2
49.0%
57.6%
P3
50.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |