Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 37-19 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 67.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 66.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 65.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Compher
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
37
(56 meetings)
19
37
Compher
Eller
Last 10: Compher 0-10 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
10
8
Compher
Eller
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
14
Compher
Eller
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
6
15
Compher
Eller
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
51.1% (10,321)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
52.8% (621)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
46.6% (1,759)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Compher
Eller
Home
49.0% (3,917)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Compher
Eller
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
47.2%
50.1%
P3
47.4%
50.2%
OT
40.2%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 01:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |