Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 77.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 56.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 61.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Compher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Compher
Kastelic
Last 6: Compher 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Compher
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
60.8% (362)
-7.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
83.3% (6)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
56.2% (146)
-19.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Kastelic is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Compher
Kastelic
Home
51.3% (452)
60.3% (242)
Away
51.5% (458)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Compher
Kastelic
P1
54.9%
58.9%
P2
49.0%
57.3%
P3
50.6%
64.0%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.2%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |