Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 83.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 67.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 74.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Compher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Compher
Kastelic
Last 9: Compher 2-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
5
Compher
Kastelic
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
2
Compher
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
57.0% (1,635)
-8.4%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
80.0% (25)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
53.8% (279)
-11.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Compher is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,200).
Compher shoots right. Kastelic is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Compher
Kastelic
Home
49.0% (3,917)
58.7% (904)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Compher
Kastelic
P1
49.0%
58.6%
P2
47.2%
56.5%
P3
47.4%
55.6%
OT
40.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.1%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |