J.T. Compher vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 58.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Compher
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
Compher
MacKinnon
Last 10: Compher 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
13
Compher
MacKinnon
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
7
2
Compher
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
4
Compher
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
46.1% (11,264)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
53.2% (1,421)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
42.8% (502)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Compher is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,200).
Compher shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Compher
MacKinnon
Home
49.0% (3,917)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Compher
MacKinnon
P1
49.0%
47.4%
P2
47.2%
46.6%
P3
47.4%
46.1%
OT
40.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |