J.T. Compher vs Nico Sturm

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Compher 51.3% vs Sturm 53.6% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone Compher 59.0%
Defensive zone Sturm 64.2%
Neutral zone Compher 52.5%
Result Nico Sturm favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Compher Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Compher
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
54.6% (271)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
54.4% (90)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +17.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Compher
Sturm
Home
51.3% (452)
53.0% (168)
Away
51.5% (458)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Compher
Sturm
P1
54.9%
58.2%
P2
49.0%
53.2%
P3
50.6%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%
52.0%
51.4%
Sturm
52.0%
57.5%
54.6%