Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Sturm 56.1% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 63.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 89.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 83.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Compher
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Compher
Sturm
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
6
2
Compher
Sturm
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
4
Compher
Sturm
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
57.1% (2,719)
-8.5%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
61.3% (62)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
51.0% (498)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Compher
Sturm
Home
49.0% (3,917)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Compher
Sturm
P1
49.0%
56.5%
P2
47.2%
54.9%
P3
47.4%
57.4%
OT
40.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 17, 2022 | OT | 00:45 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |