Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 67 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 89-46 in 135 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 96.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 89.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 94.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Compher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
89
(135 meetings)
46
89
Compher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Compher 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
18
49
Compher
O'Reilly
67 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
21
24
Compher
O'Reilly
45 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
16
Compher
O'Reilly
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
56.2% (15,290)
-7.6%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
58.7% (3,457)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
51.4% (2,826)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Compher
O'Reilly
Home
49.0% (3,917)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Compher
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
55.6%
P2
47.2%
57.0%
P3
47.4%
55.0%
OT
40.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |