Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Carrick 54.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 65.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 53.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 60.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Compher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Compher
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
55.5% (470)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.7% (3)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
50.0% (58)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Compher
Carrick
Home
51.3% (452)
58.6% (261)
Away
51.5% (458)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Compher
Carrick
P1
54.9%
55.9%
P2
49.0%
53.5%
P3
50.6%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |