Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Carrick 52.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 54.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 65.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Compher
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Compher
Carrick
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
6
2
Compher
Carrick
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
5
Compher
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
52.2% (2,544)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
61.3% (75)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
50.8% (435)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Compher is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,200).
Compher shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Compher
Carrick
Home
49.0% (3,917)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Compher
Carrick
P1
49.0%
51.8%
P2
47.2%
52.3%
P3
47.4%
52.6%
OT
40.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |