Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Aho 50.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Compher
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Compher
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
50.5% (878)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
53.5% (144)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
44.3% (61)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
51.3% (452)
53.8% (571)
Away
51.5% (458)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
54.9%
49.0%
P2
49.0%
51.7%
P3
50.6%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |