Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 33-25 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 52.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 89.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 70.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
33
(58 meetings)
25
33
Compher
Aho
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
24
Compher
Aho
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
17
6
Compher
Aho
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
5
3
Compher
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
50.2% (6,646)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
46.5% (465)
-4.6%
On power play, Aho has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
49.0% (3,917)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
49.0%
51.1%
P2
47.2%
52.1%
P3
47.4%
50.8%
OT
40.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |