Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Lorentz 49.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 54.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Compher
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Compher
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Compher
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
48.9% (135)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
50.0% (4)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Compher
Lorentz
Home
44.0% (484)
50.7% (75)
Away
45.4% (555)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Compher
Lorentz
P1
46.2%
60.0%
P2
44.8%
46.3%
P3
44.2%
44.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.8%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |