Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.4%). Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Lorentz 48.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 57.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Compher
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Compher
Lorentz
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
1
Compher
Lorentz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
48.9% (1,125)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
50.0% (26)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
41.8% (91)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Lorentz is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Compher
Lorentz
Home
49.0% (3,917)
50.6% (609)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Compher
Lorentz
P1
49.0%
53.0%
P2
47.2%
46.7%
P3
47.4%
46.2%
OT
40.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |