Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Thompson 45.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 84.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 79.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Compher
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Compher
Thompson
Last 5: Compher 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Compher
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Compher
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
44.6% (661)
+8.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
48.4% (95)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
33.3% (33)
+3.5%
On even strength, Compher has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Compher
Thompson
Home
51.3% (452)
45.7% (411)
Away
51.5% (458)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Compher
Thompson
P1
54.9%
47.7%
P2
49.0%
45.7%
P3
50.6%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |