Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Thompson 42.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 19-19 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 59.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Compher
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
19
(38 meetings)
19
19
Compher
Thompson
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
7
Compher
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
8
5
Compher
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
9
7
Compher
Thompson
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
42.9% (3,540)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
46.9% (373)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
33.6% (265)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Compher is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,200).
Compher shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,149).
Home / Away
Compher
Thompson
Home
49.0% (3,917)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Compher
Thompson
P1
49.0%
44.4%
P2
47.2%
43.7%
P3
47.4%
40.0%
OT
40.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |