Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Novak 43.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Novak leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 88.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 67.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Compher
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Compher
Novak
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
3
9
Compher
Novak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
41.8% (1,568)
+6.8%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
51.5% (134)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
50.0% (2)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Compher
Novak
Home
49.0% (3,917)
45.1% (831)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Compher
Novak
P1
49.0%
43.7%
P2
47.2%
42.8%
P3
47.4%
41.1%
OT
40.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |