Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Zegras 37.0% (+18.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 84.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 76.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 56.6%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Compher
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Compher
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Compher
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
33.0% (264)
+20.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
32.1% (56)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
50.0% (2)
-13.2%
On power play, Compher has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Compher
Zegras
Home
51.3% (452)
35.3% (173)
Away
51.5% (458)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Compher
Zegras
P1
54.9%
33.0%
P2
49.0%
35.7%
P3
50.6%
29.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |