Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Zegras 39.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 79.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 87.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Compher
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Compher
Zegras
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
4
Compher
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (5,743)
39.0% (1,703)
+9.6%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
38.5% (148)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,426)
25.0% (8)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Compher shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Compher
Zegras
Home
49.0% (3,917)
40.5% (908)
Away
46.6% (3,934)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Compher
Zegras
P1
49.0%
40.0%
P2
47.2%
38.6%
P3
47.4%
38.2%
OT
40.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |