Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 72.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 54.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Miller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Miller
Draisaitl
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Miller
Draisaitl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Miller
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
55.9% (835)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
61.8% (228)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
50.0% (40)
+0.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Miller
Draisaitl
Home
63.0% (416)
55.1% (508)
Away
60.1% (363)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Miller
Draisaitl
P1
60.7%
55.8%
P2
63.9%
55.7%
P3
60.2%
59.0%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |