Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 54 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 81-78 in 159 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 50.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Miller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
81
-
78
(159 meetings)
81
78
Miller
Draisaitl
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
34
47
Miller
Draisaitl
81 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
36
18
Miller
Draisaitl
54 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
11
13
Miller
Draisaitl
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
52.9% (10,240)
+2.4%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
55.7% (2,827)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
51.2% (977)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Miller
Draisaitl
Home
56.0% (4,622)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Miller
Draisaitl
P1
54.8%
52.7%
P2
55.7%
53.6%
P3
54.1%
53.4%
OT
62.3%
57.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |