Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 58.1% vs Barzal 42.9% (+17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 96.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 87.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 94.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Miller
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Miller
Barzal
Last 7: Miller 6-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (618)
40.7% (514)
+17.7%
Power Play
69.1% (55)
58.3% (24)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
57.8% (45)
50.0% (10)
+7.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Miller shoots left. Barzal is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Miller
Barzal
Home
58.7% (390)
43.0% (279)
Away
59.8% (328)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Miller
Barzal
P1
59.5%
41.2%
P2
61.6%
46.4%
P3
56.4%
37.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
64.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
59.2%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |