Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Barzal 42.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 96.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 96.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 96.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 96.6%
96.6%
3.4%
Miller
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
4
(22 meetings)
18
4
Miller
Barzal
Last 10: Miller 10-0 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
11
2
Miller
Barzal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
41.9% (3,571)
+13.4%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
43.4% (205)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
42.3% (26)
+6.1%
On power play, Miller has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Home / Away
Miller
Barzal
Home
56.0% (4,622)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Miller
Barzal
P1
54.8%
40.6%
P2
55.7%
44.6%
P3
54.1%
41.1%
OT
62.3%
27.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |