J.T. Miller vs Mathew Barzal

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 54.9% vs Barzal 42.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor Miller leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 96.2%
Defensive zone Miller 96.7%
Neutral zone Miller 96.7%
Result J.T. Miller favored at 96.6%
96.6%
3.4%
Miller Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
18 - 4 (22 meetings)
18
4
Miller Barzal
Last 10: Miller 10-0 Barzal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
11
2
Miller Barzal
13 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
41.9% (3,571)
+13.4%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
43.4% (205)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
42.3% (26)
+6.1%
On power play, Miller has a +14.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Home / Away
Miller
Barzal
Home
56.0% (4,622)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Miller
Barzal
P1
54.8%
40.6%
P2
55.7%
44.6%
P3
54.1%
41.1%
OT
62.3%
27.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%
64.0%
55.0%
Barzal
44.0%
45.0%
42.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 29, 2026 3 09:40 Defensive J.T. Miller
Jan 29, 2026 2 15:47 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 29, 2026 2 07:35 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 3 17:17 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 2 19:12 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 3 07:37 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 19:32 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 19:27 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 00:51 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 3, 2023 3 06:51 Defensive J.T. Miller
Feb 9, 2022 3 14:19 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Feb 9, 2022 1 07:40 Offensive Mathew Barzal
Mar 10, 2020 2 17:00 Neutral Mathew Barzal
Mar 10, 2020 2 07:54 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 10, 2020 2 00:25 Defensive J.T. Miller
Mar 10, 2020 1 02:33 Defensive J.T. Miller
Mar 10, 2020 1 02:03 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 10, 2020 1 01:57 Neutral J.T. Miller
Feb 1, 2020 2 09:48 Neutral J.T. Miller