J.T. Miller vs Mathew Barzal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 60.3% vs Barzal 41.5% (+21.8%)
H2H factor Miller leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 95.6%
Defensive zone Miller 96.0%
Neutral zone Miller 96.4%
Result J.T. Miller favored at 96.2%
96.2%
3.8%
Miller Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 0 (10 meetings)
10
0
Miller Barzal
Last 10: Miller 10-0 Barzal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller Barzal
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
40.4% (465)
+21.6%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
34.2% (38)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
28.6% (7)
+22.1%
On power play, Miller has a +31.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Miller
Barzal
Home
63.0% (416)
38.2% (246)
Away
60.1% (363)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Miller
Barzal
P1
60.7%
46.3%
P2
63.9%
35.7%
P3
60.2%
38.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
40.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%
64.0%
61.6%
Barzal
38.0%
44.0%
39.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 29, 2026 3 09:40 Defensive J.T. Miller
Jan 29, 2026 2 15:47 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 29, 2026 2 07:35 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 3 17:17 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 2 19:12 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 3 07:37 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 19:32 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 19:27 Neutral J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 00:51 Offensive J.T. Miller