Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Backlund 49.8% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 94.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 51.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 81.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Miller
Backlund
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
50.5% (944)
+11.5%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
51.5% (66)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
47.1% (297)
+3.6%
On power play, Miller has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
63.0% (416)
48.1% (636)
Away
60.1% (363)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
60.7%
45.4%
P2
63.9%
54.1%
P3
60.2%
49.2%
OT
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
64.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |