Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 51 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Backlund 49.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 69-66 in 135 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 75.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 52.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
69
-
66
(135 meetings)
69
66
Miller
Backlund
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
33
18
Miller
Backlund
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
18
31
Miller
Backlund
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
18
17
Miller
Backlund
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
49.7% (13,463)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
51.5% (1,338)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
43.9% (2,465)
+4.5%
On power play, Miller has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
56.0% (4,622)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
54.8%
48.5%
P2
55.7%
50.3%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
62.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |