Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Dowd 48.6% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 92.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Miller
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Miller
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
51.0% (671)
+11.0%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
0.0% (2)
+65.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
41.5% (224)
+9.2%
On power play, Miller has a +65.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Miller
Dowd
Home
63.0% (416)
48.2% (471)
Away
60.1% (363)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Miller
Dowd
P1
60.7%
48.3%
P2
63.9%
46.8%
P3
60.2%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |