J.T. Miller vs Nic Dowd

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 54.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor Miller leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 93.9%
Defensive zone Miller 72.3%
Neutral zone Miller 68.7%
Result J.T. Miller favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Miller Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
19 - 12 (31 meetings)
19
12
Miller Dowd
Last 10: Miller 8-2 Dowd

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
15
2
Miller Dowd
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
9
Miller Dowd
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller Dowd
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
52.3% (6,036)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
56.1% (164)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
44.1% (1,638)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +4.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Miller
Dowd
Home
56.0% (4,622)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Miller
Dowd
P1
54.8%
51.5%
P2
55.7%
50.4%
P3
54.1%
50.3%
OT
62.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%
64.0%
55.0%
Dowd
40.0%
47.0%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 12, 2025 3 18:06 Offensive J.T. Miller
Oct 12, 2025 2 15:18 Defensive Nic Dowd
Oct 12, 2025 1 04:10 Defensive J.T. Miller
Mar 5, 2025 OT 03:22 Defensive J.T. Miller
Mar 5, 2025 2 15:57 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 25, 2025 2 00:41 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 25, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 25, 2025 1 14:10 Defensive Nic Dowd
Jan 8, 2025 3 08:43 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 8, 2025 3 04:56 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 8, 2025 3 00:34 Defensive Nic Dowd
Jan 8, 2025 2 17:51 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 8, 2025 1 04:42 Neutral Nic Dowd
Mar 16, 2024 2 06:01 Neutral J.T. Miller
Mar 16, 2024 1 18:08 Offensive J.T. Miller
Mar 16, 2024 1 06:08 Offensive J.T. Miller
Mar 16, 2024 1 03:11 Offensive J.T. Miller
Feb 11, 2024 3 16:25 Defensive Nic Dowd
Feb 11, 2024 3 16:16 Offensive J.T. Miller
Oct 17, 2022 3 09:34 Defensive Nic Dowd