Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Paul 53.6% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 58.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 56.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Miller
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Miller
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Miller
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Miller
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
53.7% (354)
+8.3%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
59.0% (61)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
52.9% (34)
-2.2%
On even strength, Miller has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Miller
Paul
Home
63.0% (416)
55.1% (216)
Away
60.1% (363)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Miller
Paul
P1
60.7%
54.9%
P2
63.9%
54.5%
P3
60.2%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
64.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |