Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Paul 52.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 81.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Miller
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Miller
Paul
Last 10: Miller 8-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
9
2
Miller
Paul
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
6
Miller
Paul
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Miller
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
52.6% (3,823)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
56.2% (484)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
46.9% (576)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Home / Away
Miller
Paul
Home
56.0% (4,622)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Miller
Paul
P1
54.8%
53.8%
P2
55.7%
51.0%
P3
54.1%
52.2%
OT
62.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |