Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Thomas 51.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 51.4%
Defensive zone
Thomas 55.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Miller
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Miller
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
50.2% (635)
+11.8%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
61.0% (100)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
53.4% (118)
-2.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
63.0% (416)
52.0% (400)
Away
60.1% (363)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
60.7%
49.4%
P2
63.9%
55.2%
P3
60.2%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
64.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |