Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Thomas 51.9% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 52.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Miller
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Miller
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
50.3% (652)
+11.7%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
61.5% (104)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
54.2% (120)
-3.5%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
63.0% (416)
52.0% (400)
Away
60.1% (363)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
60.7%
49.6%
P2
63.9%
55.4%
P3
60.2%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
64.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |