Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Thomas 51.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 39-34 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 61.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 62.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 68.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
39
(73 meetings)
34
39
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
13
15
Miller
Thomas
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
11
16
Miller
Thomas
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
10
8
Miller
Thomas
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
51.1% (5,387)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
55.8% (927)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
50.2% (697)
-1.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
56.0% (4,622)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
54.8%
50.7%
P2
55.7%
53.0%
P3
54.1%
50.8%
OT
62.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |