Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 77.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 75.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 77.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Miller
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Miller
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
55.7% (856)
+6.3%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
57.5% (233)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
50.0% (144)
+0.7%
On power play, Miller has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Miller
O'Reilly
Home
63.0% (416)
55.5% (616)
Away
60.1% (363)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Miller
O'Reilly
P1
60.7%
58.1%
P2
63.9%
54.9%
P3
60.2%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |