Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Poehling 48.0% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 93.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 50.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 75.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Miller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Miller
Poehling
Last 6: Miller 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Miller
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
50.4% (680)
+11.6%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
58.3% (12)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
38.8% (219)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Miller shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Miller
Poehling
Home
63.0% (416)
47.4% (422)
Away
60.1% (363)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Miller
Poehling
P1
60.7%
53.3%
P2
63.9%
40.3%
P3
60.2%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |