Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Poehling 48.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 93.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 74.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Miller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Miller
Poehling
Last 10: Miller 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
3
Miller
Poehling
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
4
Miller
Poehling
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
49.6% (2,780)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
51.6% (93)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
41.7% (635)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Miller is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,938).
Miller shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Miller
Poehling
Home
56.0% (4,622)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Miller
Poehling
P1
54.8%
50.8%
P2
55.7%
47.1%
P3
54.1%
47.2%
OT
62.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |