Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 52.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 60.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 58.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Miller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Miller
Stamkos
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Miller
Stamkos
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
4
Miller
Stamkos
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
50.5% (9,825)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
55.2% (1,729)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
49.6% (827)
-1.2%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Miller
Stamkos
Home
56.0% (4,622)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Miller
Stamkos
P1
54.8%
49.2%
P2
55.7%
52.7%
P3
54.1%
50.9%
OT
62.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |