J.T. Miller vs Tage Thompson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 60.3% vs Thompson 45.2% (+17.0%)
H2H factor Miller leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 88.5%
Defensive zone Miller 87.9%
Neutral zone Miller 87.3%
Result J.T. Miller favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Miller Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 4 (11 meetings)
7
4
Miller Thompson
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Miller Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller Thompson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
44.6% (661)
+17.4%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
48.4% (95)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
33.3% (33)
+17.4%
On power play, Miller has a +17.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
63.0% (416)
45.7% (411)
Away
60.1% (363)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
60.7%
47.7%
P2
63.9%
45.7%
P3
60.2%
40.5%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
64.4%
42.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%
64.0%
61.6%
Thompson
36.0%
40.0%
44.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 8, 2026 3 13:44 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 8, 2026 2 11:53 Defensive J.T. Miller
Jan 8, 2026 2 09:34 Neutral J.T. Miller
Jan 8, 2026 2 00:36 Defensive Tage Thompson
Jan 8, 2026 1 17:44 Offensive Tage Thompson
Jan 8, 2026 1 00:46 Defensive J.T. Miller
Oct 9, 2025 3 06:54 Defensive J.T. Miller
Oct 9, 2025 2 18:26 Offensive Tage Thompson
Oct 9, 2025 2 14:54 Offensive J.T. Miller
Oct 9, 2025 2 10:23 Defensive J.T. Miller
Oct 9, 2025 1 02:33 Defensive Tage Thompson