Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Thompson 45.2% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 88.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 87.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 87.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Miller
Thompson
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Miller
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
44.6% (661)
+17.4%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
48.4% (95)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
33.3% (33)
+17.4%
On power play, Miller has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
63.0% (416)
45.7% (411)
Away
60.1% (363)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
60.7%
47.7%
P2
63.9%
45.7%
P3
60.2%
40.5%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
64.4%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |