Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Thompson 42.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 69.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 64.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 62.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
17
(35 meetings)
18
17
Miller
Thompson
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Miller
Thompson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
5
Miller
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
5
Miller
Thompson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
42.9% (3,540)
+12.4%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
46.9% (373)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
33.6% (265)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
56.0% (4,622)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
54.8%
44.4%
P2
55.7%
43.7%
P3
54.1%
40.0%
OT
62.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |