Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Johnston 44.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 94.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 85.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 88.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Miller
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Miller
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
42.5% (318)
+13.2%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
55.6% (9)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
62.5% (8)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Miller
Johnston
Home
56.1% (440)
40.5% (168)
Away
53.8% (446)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Miller
Johnston
P1
52.3%
46.9%
P2
54.7%
40.4%
P3
57.2%
41.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
55.0%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |