Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Johnston 49.0% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 94.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 72.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 84.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Miller
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Miller
Johnston
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
5
1
Miller
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
49.1% (2,232)
+6.2%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
52.5% (179)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
44.7% (237)
+3.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Miller
Johnston
Home
56.0% (4,622)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Miller
Johnston
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
48.1%
P3
54.1%
48.6%
OT
62.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |