Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Staal 54.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Drury
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Staal
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Drury
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
56.2% (989)
+4.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
66.0% (159)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
42.7% (253)
+8.2%
On power play, Staal has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Drury
Staal
Home
58.0% (429)
55.4% (699)
Away
59.2% (448)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Drury
Staal
P1
58.6%
55.7%
P2
57.9%
54.7%
P3
59.2%
53.4%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |