Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Staal 55.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Drury
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Staal
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Drury
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
55.9% (14,654)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
62.7% (1,762)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
47.9% (2,907)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Drury
Staal
Home
57.9% (1,234)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Drury
Staal
P1
55.9%
55.2%
P2
58.7%
55.9%
P3
57.1%
54.8%
OT
62.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |