Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Drury 79.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 81.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 61.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Drury
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
58.0% (476)
-3.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
75.0% (8)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.9% (106)
-50.9%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drury is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Drury shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Drury
Kastelic
Home
50.0% (68)
64.9% (265)
Away
56.9% (58)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Drury
Kastelic
P1
39.5%
58.5%
P2
57.1%
55.6%
P3
60.4%
56.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
53.2%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.9%