Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 66.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 62.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 54.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Drury
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drury
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
60.8% (362)
-0.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
83.3% (6)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
56.2% (146)
-5.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drury is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Drury shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Drury
Kastelic
Home
58.0% (429)
60.3% (242)
Away
59.2% (448)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Drury
Kastelic
P1
58.6%
58.9%
P2
57.9%
57.3%
P3
59.2%
64.0%
OT
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jack Drury |