Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Frost 56.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 82.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 75.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Drury
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Drury
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Drury
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
56.0% (755)
+4.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.1% (173)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
88.9% (9)
-38.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Drury
Frost
Home
58.0% (429)
57.3% (497)
Away
59.2% (448)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Drury
Frost
P1
58.6%
60.2%
P2
57.9%
56.0%
P3
59.2%
54.8%
OT
60.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |