Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Frost 50.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 91.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 67.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 81.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Drury
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Drury
Frost
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Drury
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
4
Drury
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Drury
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
49.7% (3,652)
+8.2%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
55.4% (632)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
55.0% (40)
-2.0%
On even strength, Drury has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Drury
Frost
Home
57.9% (1,234)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Drury
Frost
P1
55.9%
51.2%
P2
58.7%
51.3%
P3
57.1%
48.8%
OT
62.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |